While 8 NFL teams that play their home games under a dome, or in a stadium with a retractable roof, the other 22 host their games outdoors. When a sporting event is played outdoors, sometimes Mother Nature becomes about as important a factor as the players themselves. Here are some tips on using a rainy weather report to help you gain some footing when betting against the football odds.
Slippery When Wet
Rainy weather can wreak havoc on a football game, but not always the way you might think. Sure, the “pigskin” gets slippery, but holding onto the football is not the only thing you should consider when betting the odds on rainy day games. While keeping a firm grip on a slippery football must be calculated as part of the equation, slippery field conditions can also be a problem. But, not always the way you might think. Frequently people shy away from bad weather games thinking the conditions will limit a good offensive team, plus the haphazard likelihood of unexplained turnovers could totally throw the football odds maker’s predictions out the window.
The Footing Advantage
Slippery footing conditions can actually be an advantage, exactly the opposite of what you might think. Sure, every player – both defense and offense – is going to be challenged when trying to clutch what is essentially a greased pig. But, soggy turf conditions actually benefit the offense more than it does the defenders. Wide receivers know where they want to go, so if they can secure footing to cut on a dime, they might gain that one step on the coverage that frees them open.
Also, when you think about throwing the football on a rainy day, pass protection is vital. When protecting their quarterback, the massive offensive lineman will have a slight advantage. Blockers only need to hold ground, while the defense is trying to establish enough footing to pressure the quarterback. Most stadiums in the NFL now use some form of real grass, with only a handful still playing on synthetic turf. But, even fake grass gets slippery when it’s wet, so the same concepts apply.
Unless the weatherman predicts some apocalyptic monsoon, rainfall rivaling the tales of Noah, then don’t simply X-out a game just because the forecast calls for rain. At Covers.com you can mull over the NFL odds for each contest, plus conveniently review the weather projections for game time. Remember, a slippery field can actually be an advantage for a good offensive football team.